On the other hand, TCG mid prices allow for an apples-to-apples comparison to Commander decks from the past. ![]() Of course, the set was just spoiled and most people can't get TCG mid for their cards, so these prices don't mean you can buy a Commander 2015 deck for $40 and flip it for 100% or even 200% profit. Right now, of the five Commander 2016 decks, two are worth about $100 at TCG mid, while the other three are worth between $130 and $140. If the price of the cards in the deck is ever higher than the deck itself, people will simply buy the decks to open and sell the singles for a profit. As a result, Commander releases are more similar to Standard-legal set releases than to other supplemental products, in that it's pretty much impossible for a Commander deck to have a positive expected value over the long term. I was in my local big-box store this past week, and there were still Commander 2015 decks for sale as of a few months ago, there were Commander 2014 decks as well (often at a discount). Here, it's important to remember just how much supply there is of Commander decks. The Big PictureĪt this point, with several Commander releases behind us, we have a pretty good idea of how the prices of these decks work. Then, we are going to rank the five Commander 2016 decks based on nine different criteria to try to figure out which deck is best! Let's start by taking a meta-perspective of the Commander decks and how they impact card prices. First, we are going to talk a little bit about the big picture of Commander 2016 and what it means to the prices of cards moving forward. This doesn't mean you should buy the decks to profit-that's unlikely to work, since Wizards upped the supply of Commander decks after the True-Name Nemesis debacle-but it does mean that a lot of expensive, powerful, and fun casual cards are going to get cheaper-way, way cheaper.Īs such, today we are going to do two things. While there are very few super-expensive cards, nearly all of the Commander 2016 decks are stuffed full of casual staples in the $3–$8 range, to the point where the decks currently contain way more value than the MSRP. In the past, Wizards had nibbled around the edges of the reprint problem, either printing expensive cards in limited quantities or cheap cards en masse, but with Commander 2016 (as with Conspiracy 2), we see the rare combination of valuable cards (and lots of them) in a huge-supply product. Better yet, Commander 2016 comes on the heels of Conspiracy 2, which is likely the greatest reprint set to date. While prices are certain to decline, the value for all of the Commander 2016 decks is really off the charts-significantly higher than we've seen in past releases. When we look back on 2016, probably the biggest takeaway will be that it was the year that Wizards finally pulled out all the stops as far as reprintings are concerned. November in the Magic world means it's time for the release of another set of Commander decks, and do we have some good ones this time around! This year's theme is four-color decks, which means not only a unique take on generals, thanks to the partner mechanic, but 55 new cards and a ton of powerful (and expensive) casual reprints.
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